TOPICS TO BE ADDRESSED Understanding success and failure of agglomerations and smaller cities Cities and urban agglomerations have become focal points in the global economy and the hallmarks of the competitiveness of nations. The economic growth of Europe will therefore depend on the success of its cities in the global market. The major and most successful players are urban agglomerations, in which three types of advantages exist: sharing, matching and learning. As a result of larger and denser populations in urban agglomerations, firms not only have a larger home market (workforce and consumers) but they can also share the city’s high level amenities like educational institutions (including universities), research centres, harbours, airports, leisure facilities or a diverse service economy. Larger markets also allow more specialisation, as the probability of successfully matching supply and demand increases (localisation advantages). Proximity and local variety also facilitate knowledge spill-over and enable learning processes that trigger social and technological innovation. City councils and municipal administrations provide the framework to connect and strengthen these advantages and to minimize agglomeration disadvantages like the unequal distribution of increasing wealth, higher crime rates, congestion and pollution, segregation and a reduction in affordable housing. Besides the big metropolitan areas, Europe’s urban landscape consists of a mix of smaller and medium sized cities. They are more isolated and only loosely connected with metropolitan networks. Many of them are not competitive and face urban decline and shrinking populations. Probing deeper one finds that many smaller European cities are less troubled by the mentioned agglomeration disadvantages. Some of the smaller cities have fostered smart specialisation and are doing remarkably well. Some experience an economic re-growth after a period of decline. Further research is required: i) to understand how urban agglomerations form, and to identify the impacts that agglomeration and specialisation effects have on economic functioning and on societal wellbeing. Of particular value is to understand how advantages can be reinforced and disadvantages minimised or avoided; ii) to identify effective strategies for the development of isolated smaller and medium-sized cities considering their restricted financial and human resources and local environmental contexts. Transferable experiences, knowledge and good practices are of particular interest. MAIN RESEARCH QUESTIONS -- Is specialisation and innovation really dependent on the mass of the agglomeration or is a dynamic evolutionary view in which new activities arise from older competences and place based qualities more appropriate? -- To what extent can alternative strategies which aim at improving the connectivity and complementarity among cities – also across national borders – contribute to the sharing of amenities and allow specialisation within and across sectors, whilst preserving access to employment for lower income households? -- How can more isolated cities team up in a joint strategy of complementary economic development, and which institutional and geographical barriers need to be addressed to support such a strategy? -- What are the driving forces that determine the adaptive and innovative capacity of cities to ‘reinvent’ themselves and to re-grow? The Strategic Research and Innovation Agenda of JPI Urban Europe Detecting labour market turbulence and its consequences for city liveability The diverse economic development of cities in Europe impacts on their liveability and on their labour market operations. On the one hand, many cities have failed to make the transition towards the knowledge economy, including smart specialisation in industry, and this has led to structural unemployment. Many low-skilled labour workers have found their skills to be obsolete and their workforce to be redundant, so that they depend on welfare arrangements for their livelihood. In cities with manufacturing and chemical industries with renewed production bases, economic growth has not been matched with job creation, as capital intensive technological innovations have displaced jobs. On the other hand, cities which have transitioned towards a service- based economy, have witnessed a shift in the labour market towards larger segments of more highly skilled employees and a growth of labour demand in basic services linked to their population growth. Many of these positions have been taken up by migrant workers. Free labour movement in Europe has increased competition at the lower end of the labour market, as migrant workers offer their labour in a context of differentiated welfare arrangements and labour legislation. In addition the triple crisis (financial, currency and real estate) has hit European economies. The private sector responds by laying off a substantial part of its workforce, and the public sector has in many cities introduced austerity measures, leading to a loss of jobs in public services; the situation exacerbated by reduced unemployment benefits. Entrants to the labour market, young people and migrants in particular, found their opportunities for gainful employment blocked, so that their position in the urban labour market has become precarious. The current debate is whether the urban economic systems will revert to their pre-crisis state or whether more profound shifts are taking place. Further complicating factors are disruptive technologies and market innovations (winner-takes-all) that can threaten the employment of both low- and medium- skilled employees. These tendencies have already caused social tensions and disturbances, which have been concentrated in large cities. If labour market turbulence further intensifies, social tensions will be exacerbated, affecting the quality of life as well as the attractiveness of these cities. MAIN RESEARCH QUESTIONS -- What is the reciprocal relation between the system of labour migration and the urban economic system; do jobs direct migration or is migration also a force in economic development? -- Which innovations are required to improve social and economic inclusion; particularly of those whose skills have become obsolete or whose labour has become redundant in urban economies in transition? -- How can new production and service systems in terms of circular economies including “green economies” and the close collaboration with practitioners and stakeholders create more employment opportunities? -- How can youth employment and economic growth opportunities best be matched? The governance of economic transitions: from competition to collaboration Current European governance is dominated by the creation of a single market: regulation to create a level playing field and to harmonise national policies through European directives. With metropolitan regions and cities becoming a dominant competitive unit in the global economy, we may need to look for other partnership mechanisms within and across national borders. This could range from Pan-European cooperation in sectors that profit from scale advantages (aviation, transportation, communication), through city-partnerships, to (groups of) transnational entrepreneurs. The starting point for collaboration would be to identify the niche within the global economy for different types of cities. ROADMAP VIBRANCY IN URBAN ECONOMIES UNDERSTANDING agglomeration and smaller cities dynamics in the context of urban specialisation and innovation CITIES AS ACTORS promoting sustainable production and consumption patterns to drive social cohesion MAIN RESEARCH QUESTIONS -- Which policies to stimulate the urban economy have proven to be effective and efficient, why do successful economic policies differ between cities and regions and what is the role of transnational entrepreneurship? -- What is the best way to deal with urban regions in economic decline? When is decline inevitable and how can policies ameliorate the consequences or even counter this decline? -- How can European urban areas shift from competition to collaboration in partnerships that welcome specialisation, complementarities and synergy? IMPACT OF MIGRATION on economic development, employment and social inclusion URBAN TRANSITION AND INNOVATION CAPACITIES built upon national and cross-boundary cooperation and partnership The Strategic Research and Innovation Agenda of JPI Urban Europe Motivation Stimulated by post-2008 austerity measures, civic services and the size of the welfare state are reducing as civil society is being increasingly called upon to fill the void through bottom-up voluntary efforts. This leads to changing roles of public services and the need to redefine the contribution of and cooperation with community-based activities. It also results in the call for new business models. The role of social entrepreneurship, local economy and shared economy is under debate and frameworks are needed to tap the full potential of these opportunities as well as social innovation. Poverty in urban areas is increasingly clustered territorially, including a growth in inequalities relating to housing, employment, energy poverty, education and training and accessibility to (public) services such as healthcare, transport infrastructures, and ICT in general; with a widening of the ‘digital divide’. As the difference between contributors to and beneficiaries of welfare services increases, this situation risks generating urban social unrest and intolerance. There is of course no easy solution to these welfare challenges. Progress requires multilateral efforts combining a range of responses and underlying business models. Social innovation and other forms of co-creative activity to shape, design and deliver urban welfare services hold much promise. Such co-creative approaches can also render the underlying services more resilient to socioeconomic pressures, particularly in the co-design of policies and new development models that reconcile global economic competitiveness with sustainable local economies, and to counteract urban segregation. New business models are also required to support sustainable urban transitions. The investments required to achieve radical transitions in cities’ environ WELFARE AND FINANCE mental performance – to decarbonise them, render them more resilient and improve their adaptive capacity – whilst simultaneously maintaining or improving upon their liveability and economic productivity, are likely to be of an unprecedented scale. These investments will require careful planning and may benefit from creative partnerships between public and private institutions; even with citizens and groups of them. TOPICS TO BE ADDRESSED Changing roles of public services Public services were mainly developed under a strong rational planning paradigm, with a high degree of centralisation that rendered municipal or even regional administration of public services uniform. But uniform and inflexible services rarely respond well to the demands and dynamics of urban communities at the levels of cities, districts and neighbourhoods. New methods and tools are needed for more effective, representative and adaptive local decision-making and the delivery of solutions arising from these decisions; to make urban areas effective drivers in sustainable urban transitions. Specific priorities in the design and delivery of innovative public services to improve societal quality of life and health include the provision of: green and more vibrant public places, infrastructures that support good quality of life, pathways to achieve inclusive societies subject to demographic change arising from migration and aging; technological development to increase accessibility; while modes of delivery may require innovations in land readjustment policy, even constitutional reforms. MAIN RESEARCH QUESTIONS -- How to co-design and co-create innovative solutions for urban public services concerning quality of life and health; green and vibrant public spaces; urban segregation and polarisation? -- How to enable research, technological development and innovation in new and collaborative service delivery models to enhance cohesion and inclusion? The Strategic Research and Innovation Agenda of JPI Urban Europe Redefine the contribution of and cooperation with community-based activities Cities play an active role in shaping the connections and social processes that take place within them. Urban planning, design, and governance can help to support creative and inclusive communities, or they can literally build walls between groups and close down possibilities for interaction and innovation. There are many explanations for why some cities face challenges in mobilising and integrating different communities such as: digital exclusion; lack of appropriate technologies or infrastructures; centralised and bureaucratic planning processes; language, education or skills barriers; discrimination. These failures and their consequences – which include slower growth, reduced wellbeing and health outcomes, lower community and democratic participation, higher rates of crimes, growth in racial, religious and ethnic violence – have significant impacts on the quality of urban life, on social inclusion and cohesion. These ‘wicked issues’ should be reflected upon in the formulation and implementation of urban policy. MAIN RESEARCH QUESTIONS -- How to enable community-based activities and achieve social innovation to tackle unemployment and increasing urban inequalities? -- How community-based action in urban planning, design, and governance may be conducive to inclusion and creativity in policy towards urban transition? New business models to finance sustainable urban transitions and smart city developments Given the likely scale of required investments to achieve transitions to more sustainable, liveable and economically productive futures, including the challenges facing urban welfare systems, conventional business models and centralised state provision may be outmoded; alternative, more inclusive and more resilient models may be required. This includes the financial sector players – e.g. pension funds and most importantly insurance companies – that are today facing issues in insuring calamities related to abrupt shocks induced by long term developments in climate change. The new models may include crowd-funding, cooperatives and public-private partnerships; likewise, in case where significant public investments require compromises elsewhere, new forms of public engagement and co-productive practices – social innovation – may be required. ROADMAP WELFARE & FINANCE UNDERSTANDING NEEDS for new public services, community- based action and new welfare schemes FRAMEWORKS for new financial instruments to support smart cities and a circular economy INCLUSIVE URBAN WELFARE and new public-private collaboration for urban sustainability NEW BUSINESS MODELS and financing schemes for urban transition The Strategic Research and Innovation Agenda of JPI Urban Europe MAIN RESEARCH QUESTIONS -- Understanding how more empowered local authorities can best finance the delivery of their plans; including through taxation, levies, land readjustment policies and through planning gain. -- Understanding under which circumstances municipalities and private enterprises can engage in close and effective collaborative practices and how these practices can be best encouraged and facilitated. -- The identification of new viable forms of business model that include civil society e.g. forms of crowd-funding in which civil society co-funds and co-creates urban development and infrastructures. -- Understanding to what extent business models can be vertically inclusive; involving state (national and / or regional or city scale), private institutions and citizens and cooperatives of them; to what extent regulation and policy support can incentivise these practices. -- Defining effective mechanisms to engage with the public in the co-creation of investment solutions that may require short- to-medium term compromises; favouring investment in one form of infrastructure or service at the temporary cost of another. Motivation The achievement of international commitments to mitigate climate change will require significant greenhouse gas emission reductions; carbon dioxide in particular. This will have significant impacts on cities’ metabolism of energy and materials. Moreover, climate change adaptation requires changes in long-term planning in order to build resilience, and adaptive capacity. Climate change is however not the only environmental issue cities have to face. Poor air and water quality cause major health risks, but these risks can be mitigated through reduced emissions and effective ecosystem services which can simultaneously improve the attractiveness of cities. Indeed developing these services can help to attract and retain skilled workers, advance technological development, and help to stimulate economic growth. TOPICS TO BE ADDRESSED Low (virtually zero) carbon cities The European Union has committed to the achievement of the 2oC target; meaning that greenhouse gas emissions need to be progressively reduced to ensure that climate change induced global mean temperatures rise is limited to 2oC. This will require that Europe’s cities are close to carbon neutral by the end of the 21st century. This will have a transformative impact; requiring radical improvements to the functioning of cities; from land and URBAN ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY AND RESILIENCE MAIN RESEARCH QUESTIONS -- How cities should be configured to minimise their future carbon emissions, even to fully decarbonise, including the goods and services imported into them. --How cities can be planned, developed and governed to achieve the transition to such future low or zero carbon future states; what the societal impacts might be. --How to bring about the integration of new and “smart” technologies, which will form the basis of sustainable infrastructures of the future, enabling the transition to renewable resources. The Strategic Research and Innovation Agenda of JPI Urban Europe building uses, through energy and water networks and underlying technologies, to food production and waste management strategies and techniques. These systems, and those that produce goods and services used by cities that originate outside of their borders, typically have high inertia meaning that long-term-planning and governance, including business models, is needed to support the transition towards more sustainable and liveable (low-carbon) cities. Urban climate change: resilience and adaptive capacity. Modern cities depend on a number of infrastructure systems: transportation, energy, information, water, sewage… These systems need to be resilient to internal and external forces for change, from abrupt and severe climatic shocks and cyber-attack to slow changing social attitudes. Resilience engineering is concerned with analysing and improving upon the resilience of networks and infrastructures; but typically in isolation from one another. There is considerable scope for applying and extending resilience science and engineering principles to the complex systems (of systems) that are our cities; considering the relationships between physical systems as well as with social and economic systems that operate in and between cities. Inspired by natural ecosystems, successful strategies include developing diversity and redundancy and managing intra- and inter- system connectivity. In these endeavours it is also important to consider relationships between resilience and sustainability, to ensure that cities’ trajectories towards meeting their sustainability targets are not deflected towards less sustainable social, economic and/or environmental pathways. Even with a 2oC increase in temperature, adaptation to climate change is necessary. Rising sea levels and extreme events like floods, droughts and heat waves are examples of climate change impacts that will continue to or increasingly influence Europe’s cities. Other potential impacts include drinking water scarcity, disease and food insecurity. It is predicted for example that water scarcity will affect some 60% of the World´s population by 2025, while water quality is threatened by new and more harmful contaminants (pharmaceutical residues, pesticides, nano-materials etc). With higher temperature increases, larger impacts can be expected. A systemic approach is needed to better understand the environmental and the socioeconomic impacts of climate change; to enhance cities’ resilience to them. Urban ecosystem services Ecosystem services are the benefits and services that people derive from natural ecosystems. They encompass provisioning (food, water, fuel), regulating (climate, disease control, purification) and cultural (aesthetic and recreation) services that are based on overall supporting services (including primary production, soil formation and nutrient recycling). Cities depend on these ecosystem services within their borders and their hinterlands. Nature based solutions to improve air quality control, noise and hydrological and microclimate regulation are typically cost-effective, resource efficient and multi-purpose; simultaneously benefiting environmental, social and economic goals. Examples include greening cities to reduce urban heat island intensity, urban biodiversity and natural solutions to coastal erosion and improve air quality. Urban air quality is seen as particularly important, since it is estimated that poor air quality caused 400 000 premature deaths in Europe in 2010, corresponding to 8% of all deaths and 4 million life years lost. Current policy suggestions are expected to decrease the number of premature deaths MAIN RESEARCH QUESTIONS --How forces for change (incl climate change impacts) propagate through cities’ physical, social and economic systems and how cities can be made more resilient – to dampen the propagation of negative impacts and to recover more quickly from them, to improve their adaptive capacity; how resilience science and engineering principles can support these endeavours. We also need to better understand how city resilience should be measured; accounting for multiscale system interactions (from neighbourhoods to the city and beyond). -- Which are the most effective strategies for improving upon cities’ resilience, and the resilience of their component systems. -- The extent to which city resilience interrelates with sustainability; how negative outcomes can be predicted and avoided and positive outcomes enhanced. -- The planning and governance structures and social innovation strategies that should be fostered to improve cities’ resilience and adaptive capacity to climate change; including building resilience to events with lower risks but larger impacts. -- Smart technological frameworks that support and underpin urban resilience. The Strategic Research and Innovation Agenda of JPI Urban Europe by a third up to 2030. More efforts will therefore be needed to reach the long- term target of air quality levels that do not cause significant impacts on human health and the environment. Maintaining and developing ecosystem services can play an important underpinning role in improving cities’ resilience to climate change and their adaptive capacity. These services and their effectiveness across domains need to be better understood; likewise planning and governance strategies for improving this effectiveness. ROADMAP ENVIRONMENTAL SUSTAINABILITY & RESILIENCE UNDERSTANDING URBAN ECOSYSTEMS, planning and governance of ecosystem services MAIN RESEARCH QUESTIONS --What the specific benefits of urban ecosystem services are, which are the most effective of these ecosystem services, and which are the most effective strategies for enhancing them. This with a view to improving cities’ resilience and adaptive capacity and well as citizens’ quality of life. -- Which are the most promising general and/ or city-specific planning and governance strategies for improving urban air quality and how city-specific strategies compare between cities; exploring synergies with other topics such as urban climate change mitigation and the strengthening of ecosystem services more generally. ADAPTIVE URBAN GOVERNANCE STRATEGIES and tools for CC and other critical events TRANSITION STRATEGIES AND TECHNOLOGIES to decarbonise cities and manage their societal impact COMPLEXITIES IN RESILIENT INFRASTRUCTURE SYSTEMS for urban transition pathways Motivation Accessibility represents the ease with which territorial destinations may be reached using a transport system. These destinations may relate to employment, leisure or a service such as education, healthcare or retail; access to which allows travellers to satisfy both their essential and their more complex aspirational needs, defining and defined by their personal identities. Links between accessibility, territorial cohesion and social exclusion are important. The EU Cohesion Report (CEC, 2004) includes the spatial distribution of accessibility in its list of indicators to measure disparities amongst regions, since “equality of access” to “services of general economic interest” is considered a key condition for territorial cohesion. Accessibility using public transport services has also been highlighted as being of fundamental impor ACCESSIBILITY AND CONNECTIVITY The Strategic Research and Innovation Agenda of JPI Urban Europe tance by the European Commission in its Green Paper (EC, 2007). Several researchers show that deficient public transport services (amongst other factors) increase social exclusion, particularly for less able or well off users; a situation compounded by the recent economic crisis, which has been found to influence both residential location and modal choice. People are travelling less and walkability is increasingly preferred. Although mobility and accessibility are correlated, they are not necessarily complementary. In urban areas with high degrees of land and building use diversity (collocation of employment, leisure and service uses) mobility is not required for people to meet their needs. Likewise, high levels of mobility may be encountered from locations rich in transport infrastructure to distant destinations. Thus, if the purpose of a transport system is not one of movement but of access, transport policies should focus on mobility reduction. Pricing policies should also promote connectivity over speed. If transport systems facilitate quicker travel to remote retail and workplace locations, these behaviours will be reinforced, potentially at the cost of travel to and within more compact and clustered urban locations in which travel may be achieved using slower modes. Thus, mobility should not be considered in isolation from connectivity and proximity when evaluating accessibility. Indeed accessibility is a function of proximity to destinations and the directness of routes to them (the connectivity of the network), but it also depends on travellers’ ability to utilise this network, which may for example diminish as travellers become older and less physically able or emotionally secure or simply through changing economic circumstances. Connectivity thus has social implications. Mobility influences social activities and the strength of social ties. TOPICS TO BE ADDRESSED The mobility of goods and people is often assumed to be in conflict with environmental sustainability. But analysing transport systems through the lens of accessibility and connectivity can facilitate the joint pursuit of mobility and sustainability goals. This change of paradigm implies that three main challenges be addressed. Users’ needs, behaviours and locational proximity Improving accessibility can complement sustainability objectives in two main ways: -- By reducing the demand for travel, through better clustering of complementary land and building uses combined with improved transport connectivity; reducing the distances from origin to destination, improving the efficiency of the journeys between them and facilitating soft or slow modes of transport (walking and cycling); -- Favouring more sustainable transport systems by increasing the generalised cost of less sustainable modes, through transport policies or traffic management. For example, by fixing minimum average speed targets accompanied by strategies to encourage modal shifts to achieve these targets, such as through congestion charging or by imposing time-varying limits to access to certain parts of a city. The potential of such approaches needs to be investigated through better understanding of users’ needs and behaviours, to better locate activities in cities and plan the transport system. This implies three main research questions: Integration technologies Modern integrated transport systems should allow for improved accessibility through better network connectivity: the use of the new technologies to find the best trip solution in real time using info-mobility and integrated tariff policies, and to exploit alternatives to personal mobility. This requires a better understanding of the role of mobility surrogates, facilitated through ICT (e.g. teleworking, on-line shopping), on travellers’ utility, mobility patterns and environmental impacts; likewise the extent to which connectivity influences the uptake of mobility surrogates and the corresponding environmental impacts. MAIN RESEARCH QUESTIONS -- What are the main reasons behind passengers’ (and freight operators’) behaviours and their residential and mobility choices? -- To what extent does activity location influence journey frequency and modal choice? -- What are the potential variables supporting a shift towards more sustainable (particularly soft, or slow) modes? What is their likely effectiveness? The Strategic Research and Innovation Agenda of JPI Urban Europe Connectivity can be improved through better connections in the network between different transport modes; supporting more effective multimodal travel. Advanced Traveller Information Systems (ATISs) can also play a key role in supporting better informed real-time (multi-)modal travel decisions, to reduce trip cost and duration. But the effectiveness of these systems is hampered through a lack of integrated travel fares in multi-modal systems; facilitating smooth transitions from one mode to another with a single ticket or daily pass. This is both a technological issue and an organisational one. Dematerialising tickets through smart technologies provides a seamless integration mechanism, but this also requires that travel providers collaborate; that they exchange data and agree on the pricing mechanisms and the consideration of soft modes in travel planning tools. Research questions include: This latter relates to the lack of internalisation of negative externalities in the pricing of alternative transport modes and insufficient incentivisation for low or zero carbon modes. Historic attempts to disincentivise the use of cars through traffic limited zones and paying car parks, have enjoyed limited success; while users of public transport or cycles have limited incentives. Since experiences of other instruments such as congestion charges indicate that these can be effective it is important to study if more effective mechanisms to charge the true cost of travel can be introduced to improve investments in public transport and cycling networks. Bridging the gap between travellers’ needs and behaviours There is a fundamental need for improved understanding of the extent to which travellers’ behaviours match their aspirations and the extent to which planning, technological and economic mechanisms can improve accessibility and connectivity, to minimise any mismatch. MAIN RESEARCH QUESTIONS -- To what extent do ATISs change travellers’ behaviour and residential choices? -- What are the most effective business models and sociotechnical solutions for improved mobility; including ATIS and integrated tariffs? -- Which strategies are most effective at improving connectivity and systems (including tariff) integration? -- How should cities monitor and continually improve upon accessibility? Are current planning and management systems sufficient or in need of reform? -- Which policy measures are required to support more sustainable forms of mobility? As already noted, connectivity and accessibility can improve social inclusion. But in less dense areas, ensuring good accessibility is challenging using alternative modes to the car, as demand for public transport may be too low to render it viable. This situation can be compounded for less able and/or less well-off people, such as the elderly, who do not have access to a car: -- What are the solutions (technological (e.g. driverless), social, economic, etc.) to increase accessibility and connectivity in low density areas and for the less able or less well off? ROADMAP ACCESSIBILITY & CONNECTIVITY USER NEEDS AND BEHAVIOUR and its impact on urban accessibility and mobility systems INTEGRATED TRANSPORT SYSTEMS and technologies to ensure accessibility & connectivity for all CONNECTED NEIGHBORHOODS AND CITIES: policy measures, business models and the role of social innovation INTEGRATED TRANSPORT and urban planning and design for urban transition pathways The Strategic Research and Innovation Agenda of JPI Urban Europe Motivation – need for action Strategies to transition cities to a more sustainable and resilient future state will, if they are to be successfully designed, adopted and implemented, arguably rely on collaborative processes involving all key stakeholders, from public and private organisations to concerned individual citizens. New forms of governance are also called for by the changing nature of urban issues, especially the increasing importance of ‘real time’ in urban governance and management, e.g. in the face of the growing importance of extreme events. This will involve an enabling environment of new collaborative governance and policy making frameworks to ensure productive and creative engagement. The utilisation of big data, new enabling technologies and methods to support these participatory approaches potentially has particular promise here. URBAN GOVERNANCE AND PARTICIPATION